Factors Influencing Voters' Choice in Elections in Ghana: A Case study of the Kumbungu Constituency of the Northern Region
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47672/ajlg.830Keywords:
Elections, electorates' choices, determinants, Northern Ghana, and voter behavior.Abstract
Purpose: Globally, and most especially in Africa, researchers seem not to have sufficiently explained the underlying factors that influence electorates' choices. Thus, studies often reveal a myriad of factors that determine this behavior of voters. While some scholars posit rationality as the underlying factor, others suggest idiosyncratic factors in that regard. These conflicting positions indicate that the motivation of electorates' choices is multifaceted. In Ghana, few studies have investigated the phenomenon in the Northern part of the country. This study, therefore, explored the phenomenon with regard to elections in the Kumbungu Constituency of Northern Ghana.
Methodology: Underpinned by the three dominant theories; the sociological model, the psychological model and the rational-choice theory, the study employed an explanatory sequential mixed-method design to gather data thereof. A combination of purposive sampling methods was employed to select information rich cases. The selection of the study region and constituency was based on critical case sampling. Purposeful random sampling was used to select respondents for the survey and interviews. A total of 164 respondents were randomly selected for the survey. Ten key informant interviews were also conducted. Qualitative data were analysed using content and thematic analysis. Quantitative data were analyzed using Predictive Analytic Software by employing descriptive statistics and regression.
Findings: The findings indicate that the voting behavior of electorates are not primarily influenced by stable and distinctive factors, such as ethnic or regional ties, but rather the electorate make voting decisions based on conscious evaluation of government performance, economic conditions, and campaign issues. Also, the developmental impact of government programs, ethnicity and ideological leaning of voters do play a role. Therefore, politicians need to heed this in their effort to win the hearts of voters.
Unique Contribution and Recommendation: This study recommends that ruling political parties should always endeavor to promote and foster policies and programs that improve the living standards of the Ghanaian electorates if they desire to retain and cling on to political power.
Downloads
References
Adjei, J. K. (2012). An African Model? Conflict Management in Ghana's 2008 Presidential Elections'. Managing Conflicts in Africa's Democratic Transitions, 233-254.
Andersen, R., & Heath, A. (2003). Social identities and political cleavages: the role of political context. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 166(3), 301-327.
Anebo, F. K. (2006). Issue salience versus ethnic voting in the 2004 elections. Voting for Democracy in Ghana: The 2004 Elections in Perspective, 38-43.
Antunes, R. (2010). Theoretical Models of Voting Behavior. Exedra, 4, 145-170. Retrieved on January 20, 2020 from http://www.exedrajournal.com/docs/N4/10C_Rui- Antunes_pp_145-170.pdf.
Antwi, R. B. (2018). How Do Voters Decide? A Study of the Determinants of Voting Behavior in Ghana. Available from http: //corescholar.libraries.wright.edu/etdall/2225.
Arthur, P. (2009). Ethnicity and Electoral Politics in Ghana's Fourth Republic. Africa Today, 56 (2), 45-73.
Asante, R., & Gyimah-Boadi, E. (2004). Ethnic Structure, Inequality and Governance of the Public Sector in Ghana. United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD).
Ayee, J. R. (2006). Political Participation, Democratic Consolidation and Elections in Ghana: The Case of the Akan, Anlo and Keta Constituencies in the Volta Region in Boafo-Arthur, K. in Voting for Democracy in Ghana: The 2004 Elections in Perspective Vol. II Freedom Publications, Accra Ghana.
Ayee, J. R. (2011). Manifestoes in Ghana's Fourth Republic. South African Journal of International Affairs. Being Research. Springer, Dordrecht.
Blais, A. (2000). To vote or not to vote: The merits and limits of rational choice theory. University of Pittsburgh Pre.
Benson, G.H. (2020). Traditional African Setting and Evidences of Democratic Practices: From the pre-Colonial era to the current Dispensation. Issues in Conflict, Human Rights and Peace; Vol.1, No.2, pp.115-138.
Benson, G.H.,Achanso, A.S., & Zuure, D.N. (2021).Students and Africa's Democratization Process: From Colonial to Post-Independence Eras. The International Journal of Humanities and Social Studies, Vol. 9, Issue 1, pp.
Boafo-Arthur, K. (2006). Voting for democracy in Ghana: The 2004 elections in perspective. Freedom Publications.
Bossuroy, T. (2011). Ethnicity and Election Outcomes in Ghana. DIAL (Developpement, Institutions et Mondialisation), Working Paper No. DT/2011/05. Available at: http://www.dial.ird.fr/media/irdsites-d-unites-de- recherche/dial/documents/publications/doc_travail/2011/2011-05 .
Bratton, M., Bhavnani, R., & Chen, T. H. (2012). Voting Intentions in Africa: Ethnic, Economic or Partisan? Commonwealth & Comparative Politics, 50 (1), 27-52.
Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., & Stokes, D. (1960). The American Voter. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Cassette, A., Farvaque, E., & Hericourt, J. (2013). Two-round elections, one-round determinants? Evidence from the French municipal elections. Public Choice, 156(3-4), 563-591.
Conroy-Kruts, J. (2013). Information and Ethnic Politics in Africa. British Journal of Political Science, 43 (2): 345-373.
Debrah, E. (2008). The 2007 Kenyan Elections: Lessons for the Rest of Africa. The New Legon Observer.
Downs, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy. Journal of political Economy, 65 (2), 135-150.
Farber, H. S. (2010). Rational choice and voter turnout: Evidence from union representation elections (No. w16160). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Ferree, K. E., Gibson, C. C., & Long, J. D. (2014). Voting behavior and electoral irregularities in Kenya's 2013 Election. Journal of Eastern African Studies, 8(1), 153-172.
Ghana Statistical Service (2012). Ghana Population and Housing Census, Summary report of final results, Available: www.statsghana.gov.gh
Gyimah-Boadi, E. (2008). Ghana's fourth republic: championing the African democratic renaissance?' Ghana Center for Democratic Development (CDD-GHANA) Briefing Paper, 8(4), 56-74.
Harding, R. (2015). Attribution and accountability: Voting for roads in Ghana. World Pol., 67, 656.
Hayes, D. (2010). Trait Voting in U.S. Senate Elections. American Politics Research, 38(6), 11021129.
Heywood, A. (2002). Politics (2nd ed.). Palgrave.
Hix, S., & Noury, A. (2016). Government-opposition or left-right? The institutional determinants of voting in legislatures. Political Science Research and Methods, 4(2), 249-273.
Hoffman, B. D., & Long, J. D. (2013). Parties, Ethnicity, and Voting in African Elections. Comparative Politics, 45 (2), 127-146.
Koppensteiner, M., & Stephen, P. (2014). Voting for Personality: Do First Impressions and Self Evaluations Affect Voting Decisions? Journal of Research in Personality. 51, 62 - 68.
Lazarsfeld, P. F., Berelson, B., & Gaudet, H. (1944). The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes up His Mind in a Presidential Election. New York: Duell, Sloan and Pearce.
Lindberg, S. I., & Morrison, M. K. (2008). Are African voters really ethnic or clientelistic? Survey evidence from Ghana. Political Science Quarterly, 123(1), 95-122.
Miles, M. B., Huberman, A. M., & Saldaña, J. (2018). Qualitative data analysis: A methods sourcebook. Sage publications.
Nwanganga, A. P., Peter, N. C., & Udensi Mirian, I. (2017). Political Branding/Brand Personality and Voter's Choice of Candidate: An Empirical Inquiry into 2015 Presidential Election in Nigeria. Journal of Marekting and Consumer Research, 37, 1-15.
Patton, M. Q. (2002). Qualitative research and evaluation methods. Thousand Oakes.
Rock, E., & Baum, L. (2010). The Impact of High-visibility Contests for U.S. State Court Judgeships: Partisan Voting in Nonpartisan Elections. State Politics and Policy Quarterly, 10, 368-396.
Sarlamanov, K., & Jovanoski, A. (2014). Models of Voting. Researchers World, 5 (1), 16.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.