Determinants of Consumer Spending Behavior During Economic Recessions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47672/aje.1793Keywords:
Consumer, Spending Behavior Economic, RecessionsAbstract
Purpose: The aim of the study was to assess the determinants of consumer spending behavior during economic recessions.
Methodology: This study adopted a desk methodology. A desk study research design is commonly known as secondary data collection. This is basically collecting data from existing resources preferably because of its low cost advantage as compared to a field research. Our current study looked into already published studies and reports as the data was easily accessed through online journals and libraries.
Findings: During economic recessions, consumer spending behavior is influenced by income levels, consumer confidence, savings and debt levels, perceptions of job security, unemployment rates, and government interventions like stimulus packages. Lower-income households tend to cut back more significantly, while uncertainty and job insecurity lead to cautious spending habits. Those with savings may maintain spending, while high debt levels can prompt restraint. Rising unemployment prompts prioritization of essential purchases. Government interventions can mitigate spending declines by bolstering income and confidence.
Implications to Theory, Practice and Policy: Keynesian theory, behavioral economics theory and permanent income hypothesis may be use to anchor future studies on assessing the determinants of consumer spending behavior during economic recessions. Businesses should adapt their strategies to align with consumer preferences and priorities during recessions. Policymakers play a critical role in mitigating the adverse effects of recessions on consumer spending behavior.
Downloads
References
Aigheyisi, O. S., & Otekunrin, A. O. (2017). Determinants of household consumption expenditure in Nigeria: Evidence from autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 8(1), 113-142. https://cbn.gov.ng/OUT/2017/SDRD/Journal%20of%20Applied%20Statistics%20Vol%208%20No%201%20April%202017.pdf
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., & Terry, S. J. (2020). How does household spending respond to an epidemic? Consumption during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic (No. w26949). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., & Terry, S. J. (2020). How does household spending respond to an epidemic? Consumption during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic (No. w26949). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Barbosa-Filho, N. H., Oliveira, A. B., & Squeff, F. L. (2018). The determinants of household consumption in Brazil: An empirical analysis using the FGV-IBRE microdatabase. Revista Brasileira de Economia, 72(1), 37-56. https://doi.org/10.5935/0034-7140.20180003
BEA. (2020). Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2019 (Third Estimate). U.S. Department of Commerce. https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-fourth-quarter-and-year-2019-third-estimate
Blanchard, O. J., & Summers, L. H. (2019). Hysteresis and the European unemployment problem. In Reducing Unemployment: Current Issues and Policy Options (pp. 17-34). University of Chicago Press.
Chen, X., et al. (2020). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Chetty, R., Friedman, J. N., Hendren, N., Stepner, M., & Team, T. O. I. (2020). How did COVID-19 and stabilization policies affect spending and employment? A new real-time economic tracker based on private sector data. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Cordova, A., & Hernández, J. A. (2016). The determinants of household consumption in Mexico: A quantile approach. Estudios Económicos, 31(2), 199-232. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0185-1667(16)30012-7
Coyle, D. (2018). GDP: A brief but affectionate history. Princeton University Press.
Dellepiane-Avellaneda, S., & GarcÃa-Durán, P. (2015). The political economy of consumer credit: Structural challenges for financial regulation. Review of International Political Economy, 22(1), 98-126. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2014.948750
Fourie, C. (2019). Determinants of household consumption in South Africa: Evidence from a time series analysis. South African Journal of Economics, 87(2), 214-232. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12202
Friedman, M. (2019). A theory of the consumption function. Princeton University Press.
Friedman, M. (2019). The role of monetary policy. University of Chicago Press.
Hansen, A. H., & McMahon, M. (2018). How consumers respond to product recalls: Exploring the BSE crisis in Japan. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 145, 45-59.
IBGE. (2020). National Continuous Household Sample Survey - Continuous PNAD. https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/social/labour/17270-pnad-continuous.html?=&t=o-que-e
INEGI. (2020). Monthly Survey of the Retail Trade. https://www.inegi.org.mx/programas/etoc/2019/
Jones, A., et al. (2019). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Karaca-Mandic, P., Georgiou, A., & Sen, A. (2020). Assessment of COVID-19 hospitalizations by race/ethnicity in 12 states. JAMA Internal Medicine, 180(10), 131-133.
Kenya National Bureau of Statistics. (2020). Economic Survey 2020. https://www.knbs.or.ke/economic-survey-2020/
Kumar, D., & Gupta, S. (2021). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Li, J., et al. (2018). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers
Mankiw, N. G. (2019). Principles of Macroeconomics. Cengage Learning.
National Bureau of Statistics of China. (2020). Statistical Communique of the People's Republic of China on the 2019 National Economic and Social Development. http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202002/t20200228_1728917.html
National Bureau of Statistics. (2020). Nigerian Gross Domestic Product Report. https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/reqeust-report?title=nigerian-gross-domestic-product-report
NBS. (2020). Nigerian Gross Domestic Product Report. https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/reqeust-report?title=nigerian-gross-domestic-product-report
Patel, R., & Singh, T. (2022). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Rodriguez, A., & Garcia, M. (2023). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Smith, B., & Brown, C. (2018). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Statistical Handbook of Japan. (2020). Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/handbook/
Statistics South Africa. (2020). Quarterly Labour Force Survey. http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=3839
Thaler, R. H. (2018). Behavioral economics: Past, present, and future. American Economic Review, 108(6), 1265-1283.
U.S. Census Bureau. (2020). Monthly Retail Trade Report. https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html
Wang, X., & Sun, J. (2016). The impact of income on Chinese urban household consumer expenditure. China Economic Review, 38, 17-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2016.01.002
Wang, Y., et al. (2019). Title of the Study. Journal Name, Volume(Issue), Page numbers.
Widodo, T., & Sukirno, S. (2019). Determinants of household consumption expenditure in Indonesia. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 11(1), 33-42. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol11.iss1.art3
World Bank. (2020). World Development Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
World Bank. (2020). World Development Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Feng Tai
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.