EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS AND THE SECURITY TRADE VOLUMES OF LISTED COMPANIES IN KENYA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.47672/aje.561Keywords:
earnings announcement, security trade volumes, security pricesAbstract
Purpose: This study investigated the decline in the NSE N20, Kenya share index by examining the effects of Earnings announcements on the security trade volumes of companies listed on the NSE, Kenya, from 2013 to 2017. The study formulated a hypothesis that Earnings announcements did not significantly affect the security trade volumes of companies listed on the NSE, Kenya, applied Signaling theory, efficient market hypothesis, and Market expectation theory.
Methodology: The study used the event study methodology, a mixed research design, and the ANOVA technique from 25 listed companies, collected secondary data using schedules and primary data using questionnaires.
Findings: The study found the effect of Earnings announcements on the trade volumes to be insignificant. Hence, it concluded that earnings announcements did not affect the security trade volumes of companies listed on NSE, Kenya.
Unique Contribution to Practice and Policy: The finding of this study will provide the market players with a better understanding of how Earnings announcements affect the security trade volumes; provide the policymakers with a basis of designing policies, regulating and controlling financial markets, complement existing studies in this area and strengthen the foundation for further research.Downloads
References
Ali and Ishtiaq (2018). Earnings announcements, stock price reaction and market efficiency - the case of Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management Volume 11 Issue 3. DOI10.1108/IMEFM-02-2017-0044
Andrew W. LoJiangWang (2010). Stock Market Trading Volume. Handbook of Financial Econometrics: Applications. Volume 2. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/B9780444535481500076
American history. Stock market crash of 1929. https://www.britannica.com/event/stock-market-crash-of-1929
Angelovska, J. (2017). Investors' behavior in regard to company earnings announcements during the recession period: evidence from the Macedonian stock exchange. Journal of Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja Volume 30, 2017 - Issue 1
Lamdin, D. J. (2020). Implementing and Interpreting Event Studies of Regulatory Changes. SSRN Electronic journal 53(2-3):171-183 "¢ May 2000. DOI: 10.1016/S0148 6195(01)00035-2
Aharony, J. and Swary, I. (1980), "Quarterly Dividend and Earnings Announcements. The Journal of Finance. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1980.tb03466.x
Alon B. and Heaton J. B. (2015). Event Studies in Securities Litigation: Low Power, Confounding Effects, and Bias. Washington University Law Review Volume 93 Issue 2 New Directions for Corporate and Securities Litigation Reporting on the Efficiency of Financial Markets: An Assessment from IT Perspective acikerisim.ticaret.edu.tr:8080/xmlui/bitstream/handle/.../M01114.pdf?...1: https://openscholarship.wustl.edu/law_lawreview/vol93/iss2/15
Anurag, P. and Gurpreet, S. (2015). Relevance of Efficient Market Hypothesis with special reference to BSE India. Amity Business Review Vol. 15, No. 1, January - June, 2014 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/301229383
Aswath, D., (2017). Market Efficiency. Encyclopedia of GIS 2017 Edition http://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/mkteff.pdf. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-17885-1_100741
Aswath, D., (2012). Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for determining the Value of Any Asset. 3rd Ed. John Wiley and Sons.
Bajkowski, J. (2016). Are All Earnings Surprises Equal? American Association of Individual Investors Journal. https://www.aaii.com/updates/article/10347-are-all-earnings-surprises-equal
Beigi, M. H. A. and Budzinski O., (2013), Reservations on the Use of Event Studies
Brown, S. (2019). How market expectations can move stock prices.
Campbell, J. Y, Lo AW, MacKinlay A. C., (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton. University Press, New Jersey.
Capital Markets (Securities), (2002). Fifth Schedule. (Public Offers, Listing and Disclosures) Regulation. Nairobi. The Government Printer, Care19(3):1836"¢https://www.researchgate.net/publication/7870187_Critiquing_research_for_use_in_practice.
Cia, Y., Tao Y., and Yan, Z. (2020). Stock Market Trading Volume changes and Economic Uncertainty Dependence before and after SINO-US Trade Friction. Economic Research -Ekonomska Volume 33 2020 Issue
Crotty, M. (1998). The Foundations of Social Research. London: Sage Publishing. https://uk.sagepub.com/en-gb/eur/the-foundations-of-social-research/book207972
Dolley, J.C. (1933). Characteristics and Procedures of Common Stock Split-Ups. Harvard Business Review. Apr. 1933, 11, pp. 316-26.
Elliott AC, Woodward WA. (2007). Statistical analysis quick reference guidebook with SPSS examples. 1st ed. London: Sage Publications; 2007.
Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C. & Roll, R. (1969). The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information. International Economic Review, 10, 1-21.
Fama, Eugene F. (1970). "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical work." Journal of Finance 25:383-17
Hsiao, C. (2006). Panel Data Analysis "” Advantages and Challenges. TEST May 2007, Volume 16, Issue 1, pp 1-221. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-007-0046-x
https://ahrecs.com/resources/ethics-research-important-resources-david-b-resnik-2015 132
https://www.fin24.com/Finweek/Investment/how-market-expectations-can-
Jia L., Tang, J. Ling J, Yen D. C and Xuan L. (2019). Consultation Market: A Signaling Theory Perspective. International Journal of Electronic Commerce Volume 23, 2019 - Issue 2. https://doi.org/10.1080/10864415.2018.1564552
Kelikume, I., (2016). New evidence from the efficient market hypothesis for the Nigerian stock index using the wavelet unit root test approach. The Journal of Developing Areas Volume 50, Number 5, 2016 (Special Issue) pp. 185-197 | 10.1353/jda.2016.0041
Kim, J. (1993). Supervenience and Mind: Selected Philosophical Essays. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1993.
Kiremu K. G., Galo N., Wagala A. and Mutegi J. K. (2013). Stock Price and Volumes Reaction to Annual Earnings Announcement: A Case of the Nairobi Securities Exchange. International Journal of Business, Humanities and Technology. Vol. 3 No. 2; February 2013.
Luke Q., (2015). Earnings Announcement and Abnormal Return of S&P 500 Companies https://economics.wustl.edu/files/economics/imce/luke_qiu_-_final.pdf.
Lyimo, G. D., (2014), Smoothness, Earnings Surprise and Stock Price Informativeness. Evidence from Indian Stock Market. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences Vol.4, No., April 2014 pp. 385-394E-ISSN: 2225-8329, P-ISSN: 2308-0337.
Macionis, J. J. and Gerber, L. M., (2010). Sociology, Seventh Canadian Edition, Pearson Education, Canada.
Modigliani, F. and Miller Merton H., (1961). Dividend Policy, Growth and Valuation of the Shares. Journal of Business. Vol. XXIV (October 1961), pp. 411-33.
Mohamed H. M. (2011). The Effect of the Earnings Announcements on the Stock Prices of
Companies Listed on the Nairobi Stock Exchange. http://erepository.uonbi.ac.ke:8080/bitstream/handle/11295/14495/Mohamed_The%20effect%20of%20the%20earnings%20announcements%20on%20the%20stock%20prices.pdf?sequence=3&isAllowed=y
Muga, J. A (2014). An Investigation of The Effect of Announcement of Earnings and Dividend on Price and Volume for Listed Non-Financial Firms at The NSE for the Period 2010.
Olang M.A and Akenga G. M. (2017). Effect of Earnings Announcement on Share Prices of Companies Listed at the Nairobi Securities Exchange. European Business & Management. Vol. 3, No. 2, 2017, pp. 29-36. doi: 10.11648/j.ebm.20170302.13 131
Owusu F, Gyau, E.K. and Amaning, N. (2016). The Effect of Earnings Announcement on Share Price of Manufacturing Companies on The Ghana Stock Exchange. European Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance Research Vol.4, No.6, pp. 96-111, June 2016
Pallant J. (2007). SPSS survival manual, a step by step guide to data analysis using SPSS for windows. 3 ed. Sydney: McGraw Hill; 2007. pp. 179-200.
Rao S. N. (2010). Limitations of the Efficient Market Hypothesis. http://www.som.iitb.ac.in/live/current4.html
Raude J. O. M. and Byaruhanga, J. (2019). Earnings Announcement and the Performance of Security Prices of Companies Listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya. International Journal of Business and Management; Vol. 14, No. 9; 2019 ISSN 1833-3850 E-ISSN 1833-8119
Raude J. O. M, and Tibbs, C. Y. (2019). Profit Warning Announcements and the Security Prices of Companies Listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya.Journal of Finance and Accounting, 2019, Vol. 7, No. 1, 12-21 http://pubs.sciepub.com/jfa/7/1/3 Published by Science and Education Publishing DOI:10.12691/jfa-7-1-3
Raude J. O. M., Tibbs, C. Y. and Byaruhanga, J. (2020). Interest-Rate Capping and the Security Prices of Bank Companies Listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya Journal of Finance and Economics, 2020, Vol. 8, No. 2, 69-79. http://pubs.sciepub.com/jfe/8/2/4 Published by Science and Education Publishing DOI:10.12691/jfe-8-2-4
Regnault, J. (1863). Calculation of the Chance and Philosophy of the Stock Market, Paris. https://archive.org/details/calculdeschances00regn/page/n1
Sanjay S and Kumar Bijoy (2015), Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements:http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0972262914564042.
Shireen R. and Kavita C., (2016). Market Reaction on Dividend Announcement in Oman: An Event Study Methodology. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2016, 6(1), 103-108.
Spence M. (1973). "Job Market Signaling". Quarterly Journal of Economics. 87 (3): 355-374. doi:10.2307/1882010. JSTOR 1882010
Steven, N. (2020). Using Trading Volume to Understand Investment Activity. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/041015/why-trading-volume-important-investors.asp
Tachiwou (2010). Stock Market Development and Economic Growth; The case of West African Monetary Union. International Journal of Economic and Finance
Taleb, L, (2019). Dividend Policy, Signaling Theory: A Literature Review (March 24, 2019). SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3359144 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3359144
Thune, K. (2019). Index Funds & the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). Multidisciplinary Journal. https://www.thebalance.com/index-funds-and-efficient-markets-2466394to Evaluate Economic Policy. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja Volume 30, 2017https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1305802 09/05/2018
Wang, Y.Q. and Wang, K.Y. (2018). The Signaling Effect of Listed Companies' Executives' Shares Re-duction. Open Journal of Business and Management, 6, 234 249.https://doi.org/10.4236/ojbm.2018.62017
Werner, M (2018). Dividend Policy: Antecedent and Its Impact on Share. SSRN Electronic Journal October 2010.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.